14:40 Southwell

Tuesday 28 March 2017

All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:10
  • grandnational2017.com Handicap Chase
  • 5YO plus  |   Class 4  |   2m 7f 209y  |   Good (Good to Soft in places)  |   6 Runners  |   Turf
  • Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:40  |   Winning time: 6m 15.8s
1st
Horse silk
4
10/3f
T: M ScudamoreJ: T Scudamore
Held up in rear, not fluent 4th, headway on outside 8th, 2nd 11th, led after 3 out, pressed but yet to be asked for full effort when left clear last op 3/1 tchd 7/2
2nd
Horse silk
8
6
5/1
T: G A SwinbankJ: R Johnson
Held up in touch on inside, driven after 3 out, 3rd and one pace from next, left 2nd last, no chance with winner tchd 11/2
3rd
Horse silk
5
3
7/1
T: H J EvansJ: W Featherstone (5)
Took keen hold, prominent, led briefly 4th, not fluent 5th, lost place before 9th, remote 4th 2 out, left 3rd last op 15/2
4th
Horse silk
73
2
7/2
T: O SherwoodJ: L P Aspell
Not always fluent, led, clear 5th until 10th, headed after 3 out, weakened next tchd 10/3

Also Ran

PU
Horse silk
1
9/2
T: Miss V WilliamsJ: Charlie Deutsch (3)
Prominent, lost place 3rd, last 7th, behind 13th, pulled up before 2 out op 6/1
T: S GollingsJ: Aidan Coleman
Held up in touch on outside, 2nd 8th until 11th, stayed close up, challenging 2 out, hard ridden and every chance when fell last op 5/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.70Pl:£1.60, £3.10EX:£8.00Trifecta:£57.30SF:£17.93Swingers:£1.60, £6.30, £3.70

Forecasts

Dawnieriver (10/3), Duke Arcadio (7/2), Azert De Coeur (9/2), Fly Home Harry (5/1), Make Me A Fortune (6/1), Amiral Collonges (7/1)

Verdict

Strong cases can be made for and against all these. Preference is for DAWNIERIVER who looks well treated on the form which saw her complete a hat-trick of wins in 2016. She has not been disgraced in two starts since and with the stable going well she is selected to take this at the expense of C&D specialist Fly Home Harry. Alan Swinbank's charge had been given a break following a disappointing run last time. He goes well fresh and the manner of his two victories here could suggest he had more in hand than the official margins suggest. Azert De Coeur represents a yard going well that have an impressive strike rate here. His pedigree suggests he could struggle with the trip but he would have claims in this grade if proving otherwise.
  1. Dawnieriver
  2. Fly Home Harry
  3. Azert De Coeur

Prize Money

1st: £4,549.002nd: £1,336.003rd: £668.004th: £334.00

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