After winners in the tournament already, our betting experts return with everything you need to know for today's Euro 2020 action.
2pts 6+ Poland corners at 6/4 (Sky Bet)
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I was amazed to see 6+ POLAND CORNERS at 6/4 with Sky Bet given that a Sweden side so content to sit back have conceded six flag-kicks in each of their opening two games, including against the limited Slovakians.
Robert Lewandowski and co have to attack, and while Sweden’s sterling defensive efforts thus far make the score and scorer markets a gamble, it would be a surprise if Poland did not force several flag-kicks.
Indeed, 7+ Poland corners is 5/2, 8+ is 9/2 and 9+ 17/2 if you fancy a punt at larger prices – if this game stays level for a long period, as both Sweden’s matches have so far, those look good too.
Slovakia know a draw will see them progress to the knockout rounds, but their lack of creativity in attack through two games means it will be their defence that is relied upon again.
Spain likely have to win this game to qualify, and certainly do if they are to top Group E. Luis Enrique's side have created chance after chance over their two group games (6.07 xG) but have scored just once.
It will really be a question of whether or not Spain can break Slovakia down in Seville.
Score prediction: Slovakia 0-2 Spain (Sky Bet odds: 9/2)
Sweden's four-point tally means they are almost certainly through but in what position? A win in Saint Petersburg would secure top spot and a potentially much easier round of 16 game against a third-placed side than if they finished second or third.
The bookies make the Poles slight favourites but let’s be honest, these countries are evenly matched and there can be no degree of certainty over any of the three outright outcomes.
Sweden had just 15% possession against Spain and only 42% against the Slovakians – safety first will again be the order of the day given their points haul and we can expect the needy Poles to boss the ball.
Score prediction: Sweden 1-1 Poland (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)
A point will see Germany progress from the 'group of death', but a win against Hungary gives them a decent chance of topping Group F. They were excellent offensively against Portugal and will look to build on that here.
Hungary are still in the mix to qualify too after a fortunate 1-1 draw with France (xG: HUN 0.61 - 2.35 GER). The must win this game though, with a draw not enough in Munich.
From what we have seen from the Hungarians so far, Germany shouldn't have an issue creating chances here and progressing to the knockout round in front of their own fans.
Score prediction: Germany 2-0 Hungary (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)
Group F is finely poised, with Portugal needing to avoid defeat to progress - a defeat likely sees them eliminated.
Fernando Santos' side were surprisingly poor defensively against Germany in a 4-2 loss, but now need to batten down the hatches against World Champions France and get a point to ensure safe passage to the last 16.
France know a win sees them top the group unbeaten, while a draw could see them finish second and they could finish third with a loss. However, Didier Dechamps' side are already guaranteed as qualifying even if they did finish third.
Score prediction: Portugal 1-2 France (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)
Spain have been one of the best sides in tournament so far based on expected goals (xG), and should they continue to play and create chances in the same manner, the goals will come. They should be too strong for Slovakia.
Germany put themselves in a great position to qualify, and showed much more attacking threat in victory over Portugal. Hungary have fought well in Group F, but defensively they are vulnerable, having allowed 5.04 xGA over two games.
Portugal v France is a tough one to call, but France's pace and precision on the counter-attack (knowing a point sees them finish in the top two) could lead to trouble for Portugal.
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