18:10 Kempton

Wednesday 20 December 2017

All16:1016:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:40

ROA/Racing Post Owners' Jackpot Handicap

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 4  |   1m  |   Standard  |   13 Runners  |   Polytrack  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 18:13  |   Winning time: 1m 37.13s
1st
Horse silk
8
(6)
14/1
T: D R C ElsworthJ: L P Keniry
Tracked leaders, ridden to challenge over 1f out, led entering final furlong, ran on
2nd
Horse silk
1
4
(2)
10/1
T: D M LoughnaneJ: Josephine Gordon
Mid-division, switched right and effort 2f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, ran on, not reach winner
3rd
Horse silk
nk
1
(13)
15/2
T: J A OsborneJ: D C Costello
Mid-division, hanging right when switched left and headway over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, went 3rd close home
4th
Horse silk
nk
12
(7)
68-10
9/2f
T: B R JohnsonJ: L Morris
Held up in mid-division, ridden over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, nearest finish
5th
Horse silk
hd
7
(10)
5/1
T: Mrs A J PerrettJ: Joey Haynes
Prominent, led over 1f out, headed entering final furlong, not quicken inside final furlong
6th
Horse silk
1
11
(1)
33/1
T: P J McBrideJ: S Donohoe
Tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, not clear run inside final furlong, no impression after
7th
Horse silk
½
13
(3)
11/1
T: H J L DunlopJ: K T O'Neill
Soon led, headed over 6f out, stayed handy, ridden 2f out, no extra final 100 yards
8th
Horse silk
nk
9
(4)
20/1
T: C GordonJ: K Shoemark
Held up towards rear, ridden over 3f out, headway and switched right inside final furlong, never on terms
9th
Horse silk
hd
6
(8)
7/1
T: Eve Johnson HoughtonJ: Charles Bishop
Led early, led again over 6f out, headed over 1f out, no extra final 100 yards
10th
Horse silk
1 ¾
3
(5)
14/1
T: D K IvoryJ: A Kirby
Last to break, held up in rear, some headway final furlong, no chance
11th
Horse silk
3 ¾
2
(14)
11/1
T: A M BaldingJ: Jason Watson (7)
Held up in mid-division on outside, ridden over 3f out, weakened from over 2f out
12th
Horse silk
3 ¼
10
(9)
28/1
T: J L FlintJ: Daniel Muscutt
Mid-division, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened
13th
Horse silk
hd
14
(12)
15/2
T: J C FoxJ: Tom Marquand
Towards rear on outside, took keen hold, ridden over 3f out, soon beaten

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Non-Runners

5
(11)
Horse silk
Gentlemen7
Weight: 9-3|  Age: 6
T: P S McEntee  J: Danny Brock
NR

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£9.10Pl:£3.60, £4.00, £2.70EX:£192.00Trifecta:£1,548.10Tricast:£1,185.86SF:£145.98Swingers:£47.10, £13.70, £16.90

Forecasts

Lacan (9/2), Eltezam (5/1), Golden Wedding (7/1), Ice Royal (15/2), Medicean El Diablo (15/2), Chestnut Fire (10/1), Assanilka (11/1), Intimate Art (11/1), Dance Teacher (14/1), Fighting Temeraire (14/1), Gentlemen (16/1), Jumping Jack (20/1), Native Soldier (28/1), Bluff Crag (33/1)

Verdict

A tough puzzle to solve, so the simplest approach is probably just to nail the colours to the mast of one horse (at small stakes), and hope it's the right choice. Therefore, we plump for the Brett Johnson trained, Luke Morris ridden LACAN. He hasn't been rushed since scoring snugly over C&D in early November, and a subsequent rise of 5lb looks more than fair. He was a winner off a mark as high as 93 back in May 2015 for Marco Botti (currently rated 74), and whilst it would be stretching it too say that he has plenty in hand of the handicapper, he certainly has room for further upward progress. Of the others Dance Teacher is unexposed, whilst Golden Wedding would represent a sporting each-way shout at fairly rewarding odds.
  1. Lacan
  2. Eltezam
  3. Golden Wedding

Previous Winners

2016
Presumido
Weight: 9-3  |Age: 6
J: J F Egan  |  T: S Dow
10/1

Prize Money

1st: £4,690.002nd: £1,396.003rd: £697.004th: £349.00

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