Our star daily duo of Rory Delargy and David Massey have had 10/1 and 20/1 winners this week already - don't miss Wednesday's advice.
0.5pts e.w Armchair Farmer in the 2.35 Ludlow at 9/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4 - min 15/2)
0.5pts e.w Musique de Fee in the 3.35 Ludlow at 14/1 (General - 1/5 1,2,3 - min 12/1)
Four jumps meetings on Wednesday shows that it’s not quite the Flat season proper yet, and it’s the twighoppers who look the more reliable betting medium at present. Fergal O’Brien runs a couple in this handicap hurdle, and whilst class-dropper Hurricane Harvey makes some appeal at the head of the weights, Jonathan Burke rides ARMCHAIR FARMER, who has been off for a year, presumably waiting for better ground rather than for any more worrying reasons.
He ran out a very easy winner at Exeter on his reappearance last term, form franked by a couple of those in behind, and although disappointing a week later under a penalty, that race clearly came too quickly. In fact, his two wins have come off breaks of 91 days and 170 days, so catching him fresh today is probably a positive. With the wind continuing to dry the track, he’ll have conditions in his favour, and with the handicapper dropping him a generous-looking 4lb since we last saw him, he looks on mark he can do some damage off.
MUSIQUE DE FEE is quite interesting here having found the drop to a bare 2m at Market Rasen last time totally against her. Outpaced virtually from flagfall, she was spotted making late headway in the straight to finish a distant fourth, and she went into the notebook as one to be interested in for handicaps over further. That run last time was her first after wind surgery and seems to have been designed to test the efficacy of the procedure.
The daughter of Irish St Leger winner Jukebox Jury is up five and a half furlongs today and that ought to see her much more competitive, particularly in a low-grade handicap which has been split into three divisions. A mark of 92 looks fair enough on what she’s achieved so far, and I think she’ll leave her previous form behind now getting more of a stamina test.
Jaunty Belle is worth a mention at a likely huge price too. Her form is poor on balance, except for a better showing on good ground over 2½m at Hereford in January. It was no surprise that dropping back to 2m on heavy ground at Ffos Las last time saw her revert to previous ways, but it wouldn’t be a huge shock to see a better run now back up in trip on a sound surface.
Dave Newnes is certainly getting value for money, with the race sponsored in his name being run over three separate divisions to ensure he stays in the Ludlow limelight for well over an hour, and the second division of his race also looks worth a second look.
Martin Keighley hasn’t completely turned the corner after a poor winter, but a couple of welcome winners in the past fortnight suggest things are getting better, and Another Day Out is in my notebook next to the words “when the stable form turns”, which means she is worth an interest in a weak affair.
An Irish point-to-point winner (beat one now rated 113), there have been signs of promise on more than one occasion from her, but like so many from the yard this winter she’s been below form on her last two starts. Her second to last week’s Cheltenham winner Pretending in December would give her every chance from a mark of just 97 here and the hope is that she has turned her own corner in line with a few of her stablemates.
Posted at 0920 BST on 24/04/24
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