Jake Osgathorpe uses Infogol's expected goals (xG) model to help predict the Premier League correct scores for the latest round of fixtures, as well as rounding up kick-off and TV information.
Scroll to bottom for this week's Premier League TV schedule in full
Correct Score: West Ham 1-3 Manchester City (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)
- Sky Sports: Sunday, 16:30
West Ham continue to impress under David Moyes, finishing seventh last season to show their sixth placed finish in 20/21 was no fluke.
They are such an awkward opponent to face, capable of adapting their style and playing in different way, and they are extremely consistent, meaning we know what to expect from week-to-week.
Last season they were one of the best teams to watch in the league based on chances created at both ends, averaging 1.51 xGF and 1.52 xGA per game, creating the same quality of chance as they were conceding.
We should expect more of the same this season given the success this approach has yielded, but it may bite them in this game against a Manchester City team that welcomes one of Europe's most elite strikers - Erling Haaland.
Pep Guardiola's side were sensational last season, posting ridiculous underlying numbers on their way to another league title (2.47 xGF, 0.72 xGA per game), and the addition of a true number nine potentially makes them a frightening proposition.
It was a position many suggested they desperately needed last season, with Pep opting for a 'false nine' and a fluid front line, so it will be interesting to see how they adapt tactics to incorporate the goal machine Haaland, but if anyone can mastermind a seamless transition, it's Pep.
City are likely to pick up where they left off last season, with goals on the menu in London. In West Ham's six games hosting the 'big six' last season there were 21 goals scored - an average of 3.5 per game.
This week's Premier League kick-off times (BST) and TV schedule
Sunday 7th August
- Leicester v Brentford - 14:00
- Manchester United v Brighton - 14:00 on Sky Sports
- West Ham v Manchester City - 16:30 on Sky Sports
